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Poll rates ANC’s chances at South Africa’s May elections slim

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SOUTH AFRICA – Support for South Africa’s ruling African National Congress (ANC) is reportedly plunging, with a new opinion poll showing a party backed by ex-President, Jacob Zuma, may become the country’s third-biggest after next month’s election.

This is according to a new opinion poll, as published by the BusinessTech.

The ANC, which had ruled South Africa since the end of apartheid, may garner just 37 percent of the vote on 29 May, while Zuma’s uMkhonto weSizwe Party (MKP), may get 13, the Social Research Foundation (SRF) said in comments sent to Bloomberg on Wednesday.

The foundation cited a poll it carried out this month.

In the 2019 election, the ANC won 57.5 of the vote, its lowest share since taking power in 1994.

Such a result may mean the ANC had to form a coalition with a large rival to retain control of Africa’s most industrialised economy and had to make concessions on policies and appointments.

The ruling party may also force President Cyril Ramaphosa from office before the end of his term, a prospect that had reportedly caused angst among investors.

The SRF stressed that the poll did not constitute a forecast of the election outcome and that support for the MKP, which launched in December, still needed to settle.

“A lot can still change before May 29. The ANC may get a “late-stage surge” that may add two to three percentage points to its tally,” said Frans Cronje, the Head of the SRF.

The SRF poll of 1,835 registered voters across the country also found that the main opposition Democratic Alliance would win 25 percent of the vote, the Economic Freedom Fighters 11 percent and the Inkatha Freedom Party five percent.

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